These ten NFL teams have win total projections of 10.5 games in 2026

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Feb 24, 2026 - 20:00
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These ten NFL teams have win total projections of 10.5 games in 2026

There's still a long way to go until we reach the 2026 NFL season, but we've already had some early betting odds released on win totals for the coming year.

Right now, Vegas oddsmakers have the win total set at 10.5 games for 10 different NFL teams ahead of the 2026 season. Let's take a look at who's in that grouping and whether we think they can hit the magic number.

Baltimore Ravens

This could be a safe bet, but I'd lean towards the under as the Ravens are coming off an 8-win season and have a new head coach.

Detroit Lions

The Lions, like the Ravens, won more than 10 games in 2023 and 2024 before falling short of the mark last season. But unlike Baltimore, Detroit returns more continuity and looked better last season. Take the over.

Buffalo Bills

The last time the Bills failed to win at least 11 games, the world had never heard of COVID-19. Take the over here.

Green Bay Packers

The Packers have hit this mark just twice in the past five years, and it's hard to see it happening with the Bears and Lions where they currently are as franchises. I'm leaning under.

Kansas City Chiefs

There are still some unanswered questions here, but for now, last year feels like an abnormality more than anything. Yes, the dynasty could be on the decline, but I'm not ready to bet on that. I'm feeling the over.

Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers just hit this mark last in each of the last two seasons, but Jesse Minter has been instrumental to Jim Harbaugh's success for years now. The defense could drop off in his absence, so I'd lean toward the under.

Los Angeles Rams

The NFC West had all three teams go over this mark last year. In the five years prior, only five teams in the division hit it. Expect at least one of these teams to drop off next year. But with as good as Stafford looked last year, I'd take the over here.

Philadelphia Eagles

John Harbaugh seems like an instant upgrade for the Giants, and the Cowboys could keep momentum rolling if they retain the right pieces. If the Eagles don't see their coordinator change pay off quickly, things could go south. I'm leaning towards the under.

Seattle Seahawks

It's possible the Seahawks face a drop off. But as good as they looked on their Super Bowl run, I don't think it will be enough to knock them under 11 wins. Take the over.

San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers sneakily finished strong last season, but they were plagued by injuries most of the season. If any of those linger into next year, or even if they get stuck in a ton of close games, their luck could run out. Someone's got to lose in this division, so take the under.

This article originally appeared on Touchdown Wire: These ten NFL teams have win total projections of 10.5 games in 2026

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