Pirates at Mets Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for May 12

May 12, 2025 - 17:30

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Pirates at Mets Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for May 12

Paul Skenes and the Pittsburgh Pirates (14-27) are in Queens to take on the Mets (26-15) as the two sides open a three-game series. Last year's Rookie of the Year in the National League will be opposed by David Peterson.

In a matchup of division leaders over the weekend, the Mets took two of three from the Chicago Cubs. Yesterday, New York got home runs from Francisco Lindor, Mark Vientos, and Brandon Nimmo in a 6-2 win.

Pittsburgh's ace takes the hill tonight looking to snap the Bucs' five-game road losing streak. Skenes and the Pirates do come to the Big Apple with some momentum, though, having taken two of three over the weekend over Atlanta. Sunday, Joey Bart drove in the winning run in the bottom of the ninth as Pittsburgh won 4-3.

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Pirates at Mets

Date: Monday, May 12, 2025
Time: 7:10PM EST
Site: Citi Field
City: Queens, NY
Network/Streaming: SNP, SNY

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Pirates at the Mets

The latest odds as of Monday:

Moneyline: Pirates (+114), Mets (-136)
Spread: Mets -1.5
Total: 7.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Pirates at Mets

Pitching matchup for May 12, 2025: Paul Skenes vs. David Peterson
- Pirates: Paul Skenes (3-4, 2.77 ERA)
  Last outing: 5/6 at St. Louis - 6IP, 2ER, 3H, 4BB, 6Ks
- Mets: David Peterson (2-2, 3.05 ERA)
  Last outing: 5/6 at Arizona - 6IP, 2ER, 4H, 4BB, 6Ks

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Pirates at Mets

The Mets have won 10 of their last 13 home games
The Under is 17-10-2 in Pirates' games against National League teams this season
The Pirates have covered the Run Line in 3 straight games
Veteran Andrew McCutcheon is off to a slow start in May hitting just .188 (6-32)
Juan Soto is 11-39 (.282) in May with 5 HRs and 7 RBIs
Paul Skenes has struck out 7 or more opposing hitters in 3 of his 8 starts this season

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Pirates and the Mets

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Monday's game between the Pirates and the Mets:

Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the New York Mets on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Pittsburgh Pirates at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 7.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

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