UCLA overtakes UConn as No. 1 seed: Women’s NCAA Tournament Bracket Watch

UCLA overtakes UConn as No. 1 seed: Women’s NCAA Tournament Bracket Watch

UCLA overtakes UConn as No. 1 seed: Women’s NCAA Tournament Bracket WatchEditor’s note: This article is part of the Bracket Central series, an inside look at the run-up to the men’s and women’s NCAA Tournaments, along with analysis and picks during the tournaments.

As always, Thursday was a massive day in women’s college hoops. Several matchups had major seeding implications, including Vanderbilt’s victory over Texas and TCU’s win over Baylor.

But it wasn’t just the top teams that battled for their March Madness spots. There also was action on the bubble, with Virginia playing California and Virginia Tech taking on Stanford — all four bubble teams.

Let’s get to the bracket:


First Four
Los Angeles

16

Howard

16

Alabama A&M
Storrs

16

Chattanooga

16

Fairleigh Dickinson
Norman

11

Cal

11

Arizona State
Fort Worth

11

Utah

11

Colorado

Fort Worth 1
Los Angeles

1

UCLA

16

Maryland-Eastern Shore

Alabama A&M
Los Angeles

8

Princeton

9

Rhode Island
East Lansing

5

Baylor

12

Idaho
East Lansing

4

Michigan State

13

Green Bay
Norman

6

Tennessee

11

Cal

Arizona State
Norman

3

Oklahoma

14

Western Illinois
Baton Rouge

7

Oregon

10

Syracuse
Baton Rouge

2

LSU

15

High Point

Fort Worth 2
Columbia

1

South Carolina

16

UC San Diego
Columbia

8

USC

9

Mississippi State
College Park

5

West Virginia

12

Arkansas State
College Park

4

Maryland

13

Quinnipiac
Durham

6

NC State

11

North Dakota State
Durham

3

Duke

14

Murray State
Ann Arbor

7

Alabama

10

Iowa State
Ann Arbor

2

Michigan

15

Navy

Sacramento 4
Storrs

1

UConn

16

Chattanooga

Fairleigh Dickinson
Storrs

8

Notre Dame

9

Oklahoma State
Oxford

5

Texas Tech

12

San Diego State
Oxford

4

Ole Miss

13

Miami (OH)
Fort Worth

6

Minnesota

11

Utah

Colorado
Fort Worth

3

TCU

14

Charleston
Louisville

7

Georgia

10

Richmond
Louisville

2

Louisville

15

Cal Baptist

Sacramento 3
Nasville

1

Vanderbilt

16

Binghamton
Nashville

8

Nebraska

9

Illinois
Columbus

5

Kentucky

12

Rice
Columbus

4

Ohio State

13

Louisiana Tech
Iowa City

6

North Carolina

11

Gonzaga
Iowa City

3

Iowa

14

McNeese
Austin

7

Washington

10

Villanova
Austin

2

Texas

15

Eastern Kentucky

UCLA overtakes UConn for the overall No. 1 seed

What UCLA has done in the Big Ten this season is extraordinary. The Bruins are 14-0 in a stacked conference, with wins over Ohio State, USC, Nebraska, Minnesota, Maryland, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan and, most recently, Michigan State. All of those opponents will be playing in March. The Bruins also earned an incredible 14 Quad 1 victories, with just one loss this season — a 76-65 defeat at the hands of Texas.

So how can UCLA surpass undefeated UConn for the top overall seed? It comes down to the strength of the Big Ten. UConn is unable to gain quality wins in the Big East, which means, despite a challenging nonconference schedule, the Huskies’ resume remains essentially the same week after week, and UCLA can stack wins over other top teams. The Bruins, who own the country’s toughest schedule, have a 14-6 advantage over UConn in Quad 1 wins.

Vandy earns back No. 1 seed

An emphatic 86-70 win over Texas, which was the final No. 1 seed, earns Vanderbilt a spot in the top group. The Commodores were previously a No. 1 seed after wins over LSU and Michigan, but back-to-back losses to South Carolina and Ole Miss brought them back to the 2-line. Three straight wins over Kentucky, Oklahoma and Texas are enough for Vandy to overtake the Longhorns.

Head-to-head matchups play into seeding decisions when two teams have similar resumes. In this case, their NET rankings are close, with Texas at No. 4 and Vandy at No. 7. Texas has eight Quad 1 wins to Vandy’s six, but the Commodores won their meeting in such a dramatic fashion that the head-to-head holds more weight.

Duke vs. LSU for No. 2 seed

After Duke started its season 3-6, it was hard to imagine it as a host team in March Madness. Honestly, it was hard to picture the Blue Devils in the tournament at all. But coach Kara Lawson proved there is a method to her madness. Their early schedule was intense, with games against Baylor, West Virginia, South Carolina, UCLA and LSU.

Meanwhile, LSU did the opposite, easing into the season with an easy nonconference schedule before battling in the SEC. Both teams have four Quad 1 wins and similar NET rankings, so like Vandy and Texas, that head-to-head matchup comes into play. LSU won 93-77 when they met in early December.

Duke, however, still has a chance to overtake the Tigers. Remember, recency matters to the selection committee. So if Duke can finish ACC play undefeated — which would mean defeating NC State, Clemson, Florida State and North Carolina twice — that could be enough to erase that head-to-head. Especially if LSU were to drop one of its remaining five games. The Tigers will play SEC-leading South Carolina on Saturday.

The Bracket Central series is sponsored by E*Trade from Morgan Stanley. The Athletic maintains full editorial independence. Sponsors have no control over or input into the reporting or editing process and do not review stories before publication.

This article originally appeared in The Athletic.

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